Bubble Economics – Don’t Panic
I am shocked at what is happening to our country right now. It is like an incredibly bad dream. I put together the following two charts (see below). The first chart is the history of the Dow Jones Industrial Average for the last 18 years. I drew a line (just a guess) of the normal sustainable rate of growth of the American economy. Independent on where you draw the line, it is easy to see 2 bubbles in the last 18 years. The first one is commonly referred to as the internet bubble or the dot com bust. And the second is the mess that we are experiencing. When looking at the magnitudes of the bubbles, they are similar in size. It is true that the DJ is not a surrogate for the market as a whole, but certainly if there is excess liquidity driving the mortgage market, then the DJ would at least have a residual bubble from the liquidity. Read More